The Doji is probably one of the most accurate of candle reversal signals. Used correctly you will increase your forex profitability by 80%.
Understanding the candlestick patterns and graphical displays will greatly enhance your trading skill & will allow you to trade emotionlessly.
So What is the Doji candlestick?
A Doji candlestick forms when there is indecision between the Bulls & the Bears. It appears when the open and close price are very close together or identical. There are 2 ways to trade the Doji
How to trade the Doji in a Bull market?
When you see a Doji at the top of a trend the rule of thumb according to the Japanese rice traders is to get out of the trade - take profit and wait for the next signal.
How to trade the Doji in a Bear market?
When you see a Doji at or near the bottom of the trend you need to wait for further trading signals to make a decision on what to do.
Lets have a look at the picture below. Look at the red circle you can see the price of GBP/JPY (GJ) has been trading sideways ever since the Doji. The Doji formed at the top of the Bull trend and is now consolidating. It is time to take profit.
Trading candlesticks alone without another indicator will bode you well, but getting confirmation from other technical signals will further enhance your trading skill.
8EMA (8 Exponential Moving Average On The Close Price)
The 8EMA is the red & white dotted line as seen on the chart above. This line is a great tool to have in your arsenal to keep you trading emotionlessly.
Rule of thumb here is when the candle closes above the 8EMA stay in the trade & when the candle closes below the 8EMA get out of the trade. This is obviously for a Bull market. The opposite is true for a Bearish market. When the candle is below the 8EMA stay in the trade & when the candle closes above and the next candle opens above the 8 EMA get out of the trade, take profit and possibly go long.
So the above picture has a little bit of a challenge when making a decision. Does one take profit as per the rule of thumb of seeing a Doji at the top or do we wait until the candle opens and closes below the 8EMA?
The answer is simple.
You take profit and protect profits.
There are basically 4 rules in trading.
Rule 1 = Protect capital
Rule 2 = Make profit
Rule 3 = Protect capital.
Rule 4 = Repeat steps 1-4.
What happens if the price goes up after getting out of the trade as per the pic above?
This is called a false positive. Nothing to beat yourself up about. Just get back in to the trade and carry on going long and making profit. The spread (commission to the broker) is around 2-4 pips before you begin making money, so just get back in the trade.
If you remained in the trade and the trade closed below the 8EMA it is far more than 2-4 pips you would have lost.
You would have lost about 30 pips. So very clearly using the Doji at the top is the right decision.
So when do you decide to get back in to the long trade after seeing a Doji after you got out and have made an error to get out as per the pic above?
I would wait until a new candle forms and closes above the high of the previous Doji. This way you know you are out of the sideways trade. you have protected capital & you have now positioned yourself for the next bull wave.
100MA (100 Moving Average - Blue line)
Professional traders, financial institutions, hedge fund managers & banks etc use moving averages to make decisions on wether to enter or exit trades. One of the major MA's is the 100 MA.
Before I discuss the above picture let me explain what a MA is. A Moving Average (MA) is created by taking the close out of the last X amount of candles and plotting a dot on the chart.
In the above picture each candle represents a 4 hour time frame. So the 100 MA is the average of the past 100 candles on a 4 Hour time frame. To get the next dot on the chart we wait for the next candle to open and close. We then take the past close out price of the past 100 candles add them up and divide by 100 to get the average. plot it on the graph & then join all the dots to get a line chart. Very simple.
The 100 MA in blue is shown with the arrow.
A moving average is used as a support or resistance level for traders to either get in or out of a trade. Let's now analyse the picture below. You can see the price is trading at 142.632 and is stuck on that level. Why? Because the price has reached the 100 MA. Lots of traders have their buy & sell orders on this level. The price will either go up or down based on the amount of orders executed.
This trading game is a game of supply & demand. If there are more buy orders than sell orders then the price will go up. Conversely, if there are more sell orders than buy orders the price will go down.
We do not predict what will happen to the price, here we just follow the signals. So we have 2 signals now.
Signal 1 = Doji at the top = Take profit.
Signal 2= 100 MA & Doji = Take profit.

Signal 3.
Stochastic
The stochastic oscillator is a momentum indicator that is widely used in forex trading to pinpoint potential trend reversals. This indicator measures momentum by comparing closing price to the trading range over a given period.
Basically it shows you either over-bought or over-sold conditions. Over-bought means too many people have bought the product and a reversal is imminent. Conversely, over-sold means to much of the product is sold and we can expect a reversal.
To recognise over-sold conditions we would find the red dotted line and the yellow line between the 0 - 20 as seen in the picture below.
Conversely recognising an over-bought condition would show us the red dotted line and the yellow line in between the 80 - 100 area. as seen in the picture below.
So now we have 3 signals that are screaming at us.
Signal 1 = Doji at the top = Take profit.
Signal 2= 100 MA & Doji = Take profit.
Signal 3 = Stochastic in the over-bought area.
This is now a 100% take profit signal and time to wait for the 4th signal which will tell us to get back in and go long or get back in & go short.
Understanding the above signals will improve your profit and sanity. Unfortunately trading manually takes time to learn and is time consuming in itself. Most people do not have time to trade manually as they have jobs, careers and a life.
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Okay, so then what do you actually do when you approach a skeptic?
